Volume
$7K
Txns
105
Traders
41
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 4, 2025
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" in Washington on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (see https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/president-trump-to-light-national-christmas-tree-thursday-expect-these-road-closures/4023736/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President and The First Lady participate in the National Christmas Tree Lighting" on December 4, 2025, 6:00PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 56%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | ironplayer | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | RevengeBoarn | Yes / 99.1¢ | +28.63 | $28.4 | |
| 7mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 7mo | fourcastclaude | Yes / 99.5¢ | -55.63 | $55.3 | |
| 7mo | 0xRocket666 | No / 0.1¢ | +28.89 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Prof.Money-Exterminator | Yes / 99.9¢ | +28.89 | $28.9 | |
| 7mo | AlterKanye | Yes / 99.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 7mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 7mo | badatthis | No / 0.1¢ | -120.00 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | 0xRocket666 | No / 0.1¢ | +120.00 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | steom | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 7mo | 0xRocket666 | No / 0.1¢ | +1.10 | $0 | |
| 7mo | BlondBeast | Yes / 99.0¢ | +159.24 | $158 | |
| 7mo | milize | No / 0.9¢ | -30.00 | $0.27 | |
| 7mo | POSUGOI | No / 1.0¢ | +203.00 | $2 | |
| 7mo | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.0¢ | +13.76 | $13.6 | |
| 7mo | jojo122 | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | BlondBeast | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 7mo | jojo122 | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | BlondBeast | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 7mo | BlondBeast | Yes / 99.0¢ | +242.69 | $240 | |
| 7mo | BipBop | Yes / 99.0¢ | -242.69 | $240 | |
| 7mo | GreenYoshi | No / 1.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | BlondBeast | Yes / 99.0¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 7mo | CiderApple | No / 1.0¢ | +621.93 | $6.22 |
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