
Volume
$31K
Txns
232
Traders
64
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 3, 2024
Lex Fridman, tweeted that he would be releasing an interview with Donald Trump on Tuesday Sept. 3 (see: https://x.com/lexfridman/status/1830811232502268015). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "ceasefire" during his interview with Lex Friedman currently scheduled for September 3. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no interview between Fridman and Trump is publicly released by September 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a temporary suspension of armed conflict. The resolution source will be the first publicly released footage of the interview, which includes substantial and continuous content.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$39Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$490Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$358Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.85Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
No 95%$248Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$260Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Bumba | No / 99.9¢ | -5.09 | $5.08 | |
| 1y | TimeQuestion | No / 99.9¢ | +5.09 | $5.08 | |
| 1y | SusanWarrenHR | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | TimeQuestion | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | 1mperator17 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | FreeCityIndividual | Yes / 0.9¢ | -1.65 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 1mperator17 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -93.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | 0x4F2Ee8002953322810d1C12053747AB668aC8B5D-1721646294456 | No / 99.7¢ | -8.65 | $8.63 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +73.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | 1mperator17 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -7.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +71.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | Anon5215 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.70 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | +80.70 | $80.6 | |
| 1y | Outsided | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.30 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Anon5215 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.30 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | 1mperator17 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +99.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | FreeCityIndividual | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Anon5215 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | +319.00 | $319 | |
| 1y | FreeCityIndividual | Yes / 3.9¢ | -76.92 | $3 | |
| 1y | quentin-513 | Yes / 3.9¢ | +76.92 | $3 |
1–25