
Volume
$164K
Txns
605
Traders
155
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that explicitly eliminates the carried interest tax provision by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Eliminating carried interest is defined as preventing investment fund managers from classifying carried interest as long-term capital gains rather than ordinary income. Legislation or executive actions that modify but do not fully eliminate the carried interest provision—such as increasing the holding period or altering tax rates without removing the provision entirely—will not qualify. Any law or executive action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 60%$1.8Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.65Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 77%$5.33Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +916.00 | $915 | |
| 11mo | FrankyFourFingers | Yes / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +474.00 | $0.47 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | HotDogs | No / 99.7¢ | +46.00 | $45.9 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.3¢ | +46.00 | $0.14 | |
| 11mo | HotDogs | No / 99.6¢ | +168.00 | $167 | |
| 11mo | ineedmoreiq | No / 99.7¢ | +22.00 | $21.9 | |
| 11mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.3¢ | +22.00 | $0.07 | |
| 11mo | rocky42016 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +168.00 | $0.67 | |
| 11mo | HotDogs | No / 99.6¢ | +117.00 | $117 | |
| 11mo | rocky42016 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +117.00 | $0.47 | |
| 11mo | rocky42016 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +1.01 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | BSP | No / 99.5¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 11mo | sampheng | No / 99.5¢ | +5.02 | $4.99 | |
| 11mo | ineedmoreiq | No / 99.5¢ | -5.02 | $4.99 | |
| 11mo | Jamica | No / 99.2¢ | -6.74 | $6.69 | |
| 11mo | ineedmoreiq | No / 99.2¢ | +6.74 | $6.69 | |
| 11mo | SYSY.CN | No / 99.6¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | yuiytut | No / 99.6¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ineedmoreiq | No / 99.0¢ | +1.31 | $1.3 | |
| 11mo | lexswitz | No / 99.0¢ | -1.31 | $1.3 | |
| 11mo | SYSY.CN | No / 99.1¢ | +5.24 | $5.19 |
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