
Volume
$19K
Txns
247
Traders
57
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from the listed country by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, item specific tariffs, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting imports from the listed country. Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the listed country will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific provinces provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 84%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 91%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 61%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 85%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 96%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | m20241223 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +62.15 | $62.1 | |
| 1y | jesterthegoose | Yes / 99.9¢ | -594.88 | $594 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +532.73 | $532 | |
| 1y | Fellali | No / 2.0¢ | +94.88 | $1.9 | |
| 1y | jesterthegoose | Yes / 98.0¢ | +594.88 | $583 | |
| 1y | Fellali | No / 2.0¢ | +500.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | Euan | Yes / 96.8¢ | +121.00 | $117 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 3.0¢ | +100.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | SuARas | Yes / 96.0¢ | -21.00 | $20.2 | |
| 1y | Dropper | Yes / 91.0¢ | +137.34 | $125 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 9.0¢ | +22.00 | $1.98 | |
| 1y | How.Dare.You | Yes / 91.0¢ | -115.34 | $105 | |
| 1y | Fellali | No / 9.0¢ | -105.12 | $9.46 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 9.0¢ | +20.46 | $1.84 | |
| 1y | How.Dare.You | Yes / 91.0¢ | -84.66 | $77 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 9.0¢ | +1.54 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | dreamysanctuary | Yes / 91.0¢ | +1.54 | $1.4 | |
| 1y | How.Dare.You | Yes / 89.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.9 | |
| 1y | 0x3a3d...3f615e | No / 10.2¢ | +53.00 | $5.4 | |
| 1y | SuARas | Yes / 90.0¢ | +21.00 | $18.9 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 90.0¢ | +22.00 | $19.8 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 4.3¢ | -314.00 | $13.4 | |
| 1y | x26 | Yes / 97.0¢ | -40.00 | $38.8 | |
| 1y | polarbear123 | No / 7.0¢ | +100.00 | $7 | |
| 1y | x26 | Yes / 97.0¢ | -174.00 | $169 |
1–25