Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
ResolvedVolume
$405K
Txns
4,966
Traders
1,251
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 29, 2025
Volume
$405K
Txns
4,966
Traders
1,251
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 29, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if between 250 (inclusive) and 499 (inclusive) people receive a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 20, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, for crimes related to the January 6 Capitol attack. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements that Trump will pardon individuals will not count. Only pardons, commutations, or reprieves actually issued on that date will count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for whether any protestor is pardoned will be official information from the US government (e.g. https://www.justice.gov/pardon/clemency-recipients), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | b4k9xj2wh2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -837.72 | $0.84 | |
| 1y | ayandam2708 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -162.28 | $0.16 | |
| 1y | b4k9xj2wh2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.25 | $0 | |
| 1y | xfjmjar | No / 99.9¢ | -1.25 | $1.25 | |
| 1y | abbei | No / 99.9¢ | -1.12 | $1.12 | |
| 1y | b4k9xj2wh2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.12 | $0 | |
| 1y | b4k9xj2wh2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.14 | $0 | |
| 1y | mcvall | No / 99.9¢ | -1.14 | $1.14 | |
| 1y | orqngz | No / 99.9¢ | -1.11 | $1.11 | |
| 1y | b4k9xj2wh2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.11 | $0 | |
| 1y | uhzamgl | No / 99.9¢ | -1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 1y | b4k9xj2wh2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.07 | $0 | |
| 1y | MarcelBaskett | No / 99.8¢ | -1.19 | $1.19 | |
| 1y | b4k9xj2wh2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.19 | $0 | |
| 1y | b4k9xj2wh2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -20.95 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Nicholasgre | No / 99.8¢ | -20.95 | $20.9 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -0.15 | $0 | |
| 1y | Jospehhr | No / 99.9¢ | -0.15 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.25 | $0 | |
| 1y | xfjmjar | No / 99.9¢ | +1.25 | $1.25 | |
| 1y | b4k9xj2wh2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -3.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Maxineth | No / 99.8¢ | -3.00 | $2.99 | |
| 1y | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.12 | $0 | |
| 1y | abbei | No / 99.9¢ | +1.12 | $1.12 |
1–25
Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
Yes 100%$319Kvolume
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
No 100%$110Kvolume
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Yes 100%$3.81Mvolume
Will Trump pardon 500-749 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
No 100%$432Kvolume
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Yes 100%$7.98Mvolume
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
No 100%$363Kvolume