
Volume
$305
Txns
40
Traders
18
Fees
$2
Ends
May 19, 2026
Donald and Melania Trump are scheduled to attend the Congressional Picnic on May 19, 2026, 7:15PM ET on the South Lawn. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at the Congressional Picnic on May 19, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at the Congressional Picnic scheduled for May 19, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Trades
1–25
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
No 99%$11.6Mvolume
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
No 100%$4.34Mvolume
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
No 99%$4.21Mvolume
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Yes 100%$31.3Kvolume
Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?
Yes 100%$9.42Kvolume
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?
Yes 100%$6.16Kvolume