
Volume
$47K
Txns
621
Traders
124
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 27, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on Mexico by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trades
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
No 100%$189Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.21Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 100%$73.7Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$77.8Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?
Yes 100%$117Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.8¢ | -100.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 99.2¢ | -100.00 | $99.2 | |
| 1y | Newshound | No / 99.9¢ | -121.63 | $122 | |
| 1y | SweetChariot | No / 99.9¢ | +121.63 | $122 | |
| 1y | Newshound | No / 99.9¢ | -28.03 | $28 | |
| 1y | 0xd459bE0 | No / 99.9¢ | +28.03 | $28 | |
| 1y | 0xCA738d | No / 99.9¢ | +26.03 | $26 | |
| 1y | Newshound | No / 99.9¢ | -26.03 | $26 | |
| 1y | BurKinch | No / 99.9¢ | -1.90 | $1.9 | |
| 1y | sarahmueller | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | Q151 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | gotigers | No / 99.9¢ | +12.90 | $12.9 | |
| 1y | Molodyets | Yes / 2.0¢ | -50.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Mr.IM | Yes / 2.0¢ | +50.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | cryptovulp | No / 99.8¢ | +27.05 | $27 | |
| 1y | Mikiya | No / 99.8¢ | -21.95 | $21.9 | |
| 1y | BurKinch | No / 99.9¢ | -5.10 | $5.09 | |
| 1y | Molodyets | Yes / 2.0¢ | -15.15 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | Chocolatined | No / 98.0¢ | -15.15 | $14.8 | |
| 1y | rfcfgyhgbijn | No / 98.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.91 | |
| 1y | Molodyets | Yes / 2.0¢ | -96.35 | $1.93 | |
| 1y | Dave517 | No / 98.0¢ | -101.35 | $99.3 | |
| 1y | USDCbtc | No / 99.8¢ | +3.01 | $3 | |
| 1y | Mikiya | No / 99.8¢ | -3.01 | $3 | |
| 1y | asdf1asdf13fadf | No / 99.8¢ | +19.04 | $19 |
1–25