Will Trump nominate Pete Hegseth as Defense Secretary?
ResolvedVolume
$15K
Txns
422
Traders
116
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
Volume
$15K
Txns
422
Traders
116
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump as President of the United States formally nominates Pete Hegseth for Secretary of Defense by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | raoul-alias403 | No / 0.1¢ | +873.01 | $0.87 | |
| 1y | MAGA.MUSK | Yes / 99.9¢ | +873.01 | $872 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 0.1¢ | +252.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | sleepy-panda | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,125.01 | $4.12K | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +873.01 | $0.87 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | sleepin | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | marketmaker09 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +29.33 | $29.3 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +29.33 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 0.1¢ | +48.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | -48.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | marketmaker09 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +40.00 | $39.9 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 0.2¢ | +40.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | Grisnatch | No / 0.1¢ | -7.44 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +7.44 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | marketmaker09 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 1.1¢ | -1.04 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | mxbd | Yes / 98.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.03 | |
| 1y | lrqrq | Yes / 98.9¢ | -1.02 | $1.01 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 1.1¢ | -1.02 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | bvcsew | Yes / 98.5¢ | -1.02 | $1 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 1.5¢ | -1.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | cobbrose | Yes / 99.8¢ | +4.87 | $4.86 |
1–25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
No 99%$247Kvolume
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 77%$249Kvolume
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
No 68%$28.7Kvolume
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
No 100%$102Kvolume
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
No 100%$1.4Mvolume
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 84%$19.2volume