Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump Administration formally announces the establishment of the “Board of Peace” (or a clearly equivalent oversight board fulfilling the same role) by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, resolve “No.” Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. A consensus of credible reporting confirming that the “Board of Peace” or equivalent Gaza oversight board has been established, includes U.S. participation and is operational will also qualify. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.