
Volume
$27K
Txns
438
Traders
114
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement during the day on which they next meet in person in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Maria Machado personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling Machado weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Machado isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Machado's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Machado isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if Machado is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that she is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85%$2.44Bvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 90%$27.7Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.36Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 68%$26.1Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.12Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | doublejoker | No / 99.9¢ | -10.02 | $10 | |
| 4mo | KimiTalibantonelli | No / 99.9¢ | +10.02 | $10 | |
| 4mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +125.81 | $126 | |
| 4mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +125.81 | $0.13 | |
| 4mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.19 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | misogi | No / 99.9¢ | +26.70 | $26.7 | |
| 4mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.51 | $0 | |
| 4mo | misogi | No / 99.8¢ | +22.09 | $22 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +7.36 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +7.37 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +7.36 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +29.46 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | misogi | No / 99.8¢ | +61.69 | $61.6 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.47 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Funnymoney | No / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 1.0¢ | -3.50 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 1.0¢ | -6.50 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | jppa2 | No / 98.2¢ | -10.10 | $9.92 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 1.8¢ | -10.10 | $0.18 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.01 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.40 | $0.01 |
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