
Volume
$27K
Txns
439
Traders
114
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement during the day on which they next meet in person in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Maria Machado personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling Machado weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Machado isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Machado's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Machado isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if Machado is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that she is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 55%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | doublejoker | No / 99.9¢ | -10.02 | $10 | |
| 6mo | MoistLotion | No / 99.9¢ | +10.02 | $10 | |
| 6mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +125.81 | $126 | |
| 6mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +125.81 | $0.13 | |
| 6mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.19 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | misogi | No / 99.9¢ | +26.70 | $26.7 | |
| 6mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.51 | $0 | |
| 6mo | misogi | No / 99.8¢ | +22.09 | $22 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +7.36 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +7.37 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +7.36 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +29.46 | $0.06 | |
| 6mo | misogi | No / 99.8¢ | +61.69 | $61.6 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.47 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.69 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Funnymoney | No / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 1.0¢ | -3.50 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 1.0¢ | -6.50 | $0.07 | |
| 6mo | jppa2 | No / 98.2¢ | -10.10 | $9.92 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 1.8¢ | -10.10 | $0.18 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.01 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.40 | $0.01 |
1–25