
Volume
$96K
Txns
1,105
Traders
262
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 1, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran." General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war. Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war. The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials however a consensus of credible reproing may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 78%$35.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$11.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
No 95%$3.13Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 51%$29.3Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$7.12Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$66.7Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | maryem | No / 99.5¢ | -1.02 | $1.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -1.02 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.00 | $0.04 | |
| 10mo | Connext | No / 99.9¢ | +35.00 | $35 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +192.00 | $0.19 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Wagner275738 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,692.00 | $1.69K | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | MMIWW | No / 99.9¢ | -1,455.00 | $1.45K | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | QMG-CORE | No / 99.8¢ | +508.95 | $508 | |
| 10mo | Zykoer | No / 99.8¢ | -508.95 | $508 | |
| 10mo | Zykoer | No / 99.8¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | mamamiya2 | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Zykoer | No / 99.8¢ | -10.02 | $10 | |
| 10mo | frontdoor | No / 99.8¢ | +10.02 | $10 | |
| 10mo | ddshenhua | No / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Zykoer | No / 99.8¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Lancelat | No / 99.5¢ | -0.19 | $0.19 |
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