
Volume
$126K
Txns
1,918
Traders
414
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald attends the seventh Starship-SuperHeavy test launch, currently scheduled to take place in mid January. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the test is defined as being in physical attendance within proximity of the launch (e.g. Trump attending the 6th launch would count https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/19/trump-attendings-spacex-launch-elon-musk-starship-.html). This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch attempt. This market will resolve based on any attempted test regardless of if the rocket lifts off the pad. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 86%$37.6Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.82Mvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Yes 100%$49.7Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.36Mvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 90%$652Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
No 100%$57.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.9¢ | +329.67 | $329 | |
| 1y | yoyoyoyoyo | No / 99.9¢ | -329.67 | $329 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.54 | $3.54 | |
| 1y | b72 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.54 | $3.54 | |
| 1y | smoltrader | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | QJYH | No / 99.9¢ | -1,079.53 | $1.08K | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,019.53 | $1.02K | |
| 1y | K1nder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | sleepin | No / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.04 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | sleepin | No / 99.9¢ | +40.04 | $40 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.9¢ | +21.00 | $21 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 99.9¢ | -21.00 | $21 | |
| 1y | smoltrader | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.8¢ | +205.00 | $205 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.2¢ | +105.00 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.2¢ | +30.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | smoltrader | Yes / 0.1¢ | +70.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Dropper | No / 99.9¢ | +110.00 | $110 |
1–25