
Volume
$18K
Txns
660
Traders
186
Fees
$30
Ends
May 22, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 100%$4.71Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
No 100%$266Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 89%$1.18Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 100%$3.07Mvolume
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 73%$113Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Yes 93%$183Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0xF45079CdEc119496181b3F8b5c0b10CD029E45 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xE69F17A0756C89f36584B64D0fE6E59c2f921 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | WeatherMan7890 | No / 99.9¢ | +66.00 | $65.9 | |
| 1mo | 0xK9895C337CD7a93e845970f7B3AFea163870 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xG843C0fDaAB99F50AA1ec702eE31cfddd4863 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xJ2850dE39Bf48cE0B6b6B3BdaA951e6887223 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x8F2606Ad703F179790458e1584BcFe5aCaDEcbb3-1776351102959 | No / 99.6¢ | -1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 1mo | dsoisoij | Yes / 0.4¢ | -1.06 | $0 | |
| 1mo | xoxoxo888 | No / 99.5¢ | -101.31 | $101 | |
| 1mo | NullHyper | No / 99.5¢ | +101.31 | $101 | |
| 1mo | yen4u | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.28 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Koleepo2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -14.28 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Dr.mett | No / 99.9¢ | +142.41 | $142 | |
| 1mo | yen4u | Yes / 0.1¢ | +142.41 | $0.14 | |
| 1mo | yen4u | Yes / 0.1¢ | +557.00 | $0.56 | |
| 1mo | proposal123 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +443.00 | $0.44 | |
| 1mo | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | 0xJ2850dE39Bf48cE0B6b6B3BdaA951e6887223 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xE69F17A0756C89f36584B64D0fE6E59c2f921 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Trustinghorse | No / 99.8¢ | +520.12 | $519 | |
| 1mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 |
1–25