
Volume
$61
Txns
15
Traders
12
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$1,238
Ends
May 22, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces that one or more U.S. citizens detained in China will be released between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the release actually occurs. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46m | nani | Yes / 29.0¢ | +1.41 | $0.41 | |
| 46m | 0x8C0dbb927B446fa4437931f0765eae04A177F04C-1770617745081 | No / 71.0¢ | +1.41 | $1.01 | |
| 1h | 0x46e00359B5d2A419Fbfd1ff79285569B45648cD7-1778677229187 | No / 70.0¢ | +1.43 | $1.01 | |
| 1h | Slackjaw | Yes / 30.0¢ | +1.43 | $0.43 | |
| 1h | qwer1413 | No / 68.0¢ | +12.19 | $8.29 | |
| 1h | 0xF05fE753E8330dc0FC575fC2fcd0c289e294eD10-1771041364850 | Yes / 31.5¢ | +22.19 | $7.19 | |
| 1h | myc03 | No / 69.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.9 | |
| 4h | Slackjaw | Yes / 30.0¢ | +7.14 | $2.14 | |
| 4h | 0xAa92cd99A5fEa1B5e5c90C3E3eF05eEcbC59779B-1759921432583 | No / 70.0¢ | +7.14 | $5.06 | |
| 6h | LIBAI | No / 67.0¢ | +15.15 | $10.2 | |
| 6h | bullishkhandle | Yes / 33.0¢ | +15.15 | $5.13 | |
| 8h | Slackjaw | Yes / 30.0¢ | +10.00 | $3 | |
| 8h | fightingxiaozhou | No / 70.0¢ | +10.00 | $7.08 | |
| 10h | leo02211314 | Yes / 33.0¢ | +3.03 | $1.03 | |
| 10h | LIBAI | No / 67.0¢ | +3.03 | $2.03 |
1–15
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
No 98%$339Kvolume
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
No 65%$373Kvolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.56Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 84%$540Kvolume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.64Mvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 97%$458Kvolume