
Volume
$37K
Txns
832
Traders
265
Fees
$34
Ends
May 22, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration officially announces any new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like new or increased tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. Sanctions against Chinese citizens or entities which do not directly target the Chinese state or members of the Chinese government will not qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of when or whether or when the announced sanctions go into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h | Ecofriend | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 14h | WeatherMan7890 | No / 99.9¢ | +13.00 | $13 | |
| 15h | 0x22eE1f28fC62aA683c8CB76A22a6e9f8be12C72f-1779197933336 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +295.00 | $1.56 | |
| 15h | 7... | Yes / 0.9¢ | -6.25 | $0.06 | |
| 15h | NullHyper | No / 99.5¢ | +288.75 | $287 | |
| 15h | Fidgett | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.00 | $0.01 | |
| 15h | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +772.38 | $772 | |
| 15h | Golffff | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 15h | Justit | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 15h | LuckyPierrot | Yes / 0.1¢ | +724.38 | $0.72 | |
| 15h | Kinderr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 15h | Xuhaoyu | No / 99.5¢ | -211.25 | $210 | |
| 15h | NullHyper | No / 99.5¢ | +211.25 | $210 | |
| 15h | LuckyPierrot | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.62 | $0.03 | |
| 15h | Dr.mett | No / 99.9¢ | +25.62 | $25.6 | |
| 15h | Rex416 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -250.00 | $0.24 | |
| 15h | LuckyPierrot | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 16h | XuRi888 | No / 99.8¢ | -213.00 | $213 | |
| 16h | Dr.mett | No / 99.8¢ | +213.00 | $213 | |
| 16h | XuRi888 | No / 99.9¢ | +213.00 | $213 | |
| 16h | yen4u | Yes / 0.1¢ | +213.00 | $0.21 | |
| 16h | yen4u | Yes / 0.1¢ | +787.00 | $0.79 | |
| 16h | proposal123 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 16h | beggarrr | Yes / 0.1¢ | +213.00 | $0.21 | |
| 16h | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 |
1–25
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
No 98%$329Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 98%$1.18Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 76%$1.02Mvolume
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
No 100%$103Kvolume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 78%$48.5Kvolume
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?
Yes 100%$35.6Kvolume