
Volume
$47K
Txns
1,536
Traders
231
Fees
$105
Ends
May 22, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces the establishment of a U.S.-China Board of Trade between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “U.S.-China Board of Trade” refers to a new formal board, body, council, dialogue or equivalent mechanism established between the United States and China for the purpose of managing, coordinating, expanding, or reviewing trade between the two countries. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the Board of Trade is actually established. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 99%$4.37Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 71%$1.06Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 99%$2.89Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
No 90%$140Kvolume
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 89%$70Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Yes 95%$121Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,001.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.1¢ | +30.04 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.3¢ | +107.77 | $0.32 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.2¢ | +123.81 | $0.25 | |
| 1mo | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,031.34 | $2.03K | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.2¢ | +38.65 | $0.08 | |
| 1mo | Friday | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | uuuyuq | Yes / 99.9¢ | -830.65 | $830 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.4¢ | +80.42 | $0.32 | |
| 1mo | beggarrr | No / 0.1¢ | +632.00 | $0.63 | |
| 1mo | ultralisk | No / 0.2¢ | +689.00 | $1.38 | |
| 1mo | uuuyuq | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 1mo | 0x3ef6...65fdcd | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | uuuyuq | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 1mo | 0x3ef6...65fdcd | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 0x3ef6...65fdcd | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | uuuyuq | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.9¢ | -58.81 | $0.53 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.9¢ | -6.68 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.9¢ | -5.93 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.9¢ | -10.99 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | 0x3ef6...65fdcd | No / 1.0¢ | +1,041.04 | $10.4 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.9¢ | -14.37 | $0.13 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.9¢ | -6.68 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | 7... | No / 0.9¢ | -8.53 | $0.08 |
1–25