
Volume
$75K
Txns
1,561
Traders
341
Fees
$140
Ends
May 22, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 99%$4.36Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 69%$1.06Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 98%$2.89Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
No 93%$137Kvolume
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 85%$68.4Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Yes 94%$121Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | looppau | Yes / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 1mo | balabalababalabala | Yes / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +57.56 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | 99centrug | Yes / 99.9¢ | +450.00 | $450 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,001.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | looppau | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,990.44 | $1.99K | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +107.56 | $0.11 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +55.56 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,002.00 | $2K | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +42.44 | $0.04 | |
| 1mo | beggarrr | No / 0.1¢ | +863.00 | $0.86 | |
| 1mo | 99centrug | Yes / 99.9¢ | +450.00 | $450 | |
| 1mo | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2.18 | $2.18 | |
| 1mo | NeoOracle | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2.18 | $2.18 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +1,194.44 | $1.19 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.2¢ | +2.18 | $0 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +342.44 | $0.34 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +1,127.44 | $1.13 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +15.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +7.56 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | .Menthe | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 99centrug | Yes / 99.9¢ | +450.00 | $450 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +407.56 | $0.41 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +450.00 | $0.45 |
1–25