Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
ActiveVolume
$72
Txns
11
Traders
7
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 22, 2026
Volume
$72
Txns
11
Traders
7
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
May 22, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a U.S.-China AI safety channel between market creation and May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "U.S.-China AI safety channel" refers to the establishment of a communication channel, dialogue, or alternative formal communication mechanism between China and the United States concerning AI safety, AI risk, AI governance, or equivalent issues. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced action goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28m | 0xf27de6607Cbd11011 | Yes / 38.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.79 | |
| 28m | altar07 | No / 62.0¢ | +20.00 | $12.4 | |
| 2h | aliiz | No / 38.0¢ | +10.12 | $3.94 | |
| 2h | altar07 | Yes / 62.0¢ | +10.12 | $6.27 | |
| 3h | 0x46e00359B5d2A419Fbfd1ff79285569B45648cD7-1778677229187 | No / 38.0¢ | +2.63 | $1.02 | |
| 3h | tiongbu | Yes / 62.0¢ | +1.57 | $0.97 | |
| 3h | altar07 | Yes / 62.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.66 | |
| 3h | 0xF05fE753E8330dc0FC575fC2fcd0c289e294eD10-1771041364850 | No / 38.0¢ | +18.42 | $7.17 | |
| 3h | tiongbu | Yes / 62.0¢ | +18.42 | $11.4 | |
| 3h | LIBAI | Yes / 65.0¢ | +20.00 | $13 | |
| 3h | tiongbu | No / 35.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.18 |
1–11
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
No 98%$339Kvolume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.65Mvolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.56Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 86%$545Kvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 97%$461Kvolume
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.4Mvolume