
Volume
$55K
Txns
315
Traders
85
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 7, 2025
On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | wsp. | Yes / 99.9¢ | -209.33 | $209 | |
| 1y | COVID-isTheNew-HUNTER-PARDON | Yes / 99.9¢ | +209.33 | $209 | |
| 1y | COVID-isTheNew-HUNTER-PARDON | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,246.61 | $9.24K | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | No / 0.1¢ | +2,222.00 | $2.22 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | No / 0.1¢ | +222.00 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | taerv534 | No / 0.1¢ | +4,702.61 | $4.7 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | wsp. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +209.34 | $209 | |
| 1y | taerv534 | No / 0.1¢ | +209.34 | $0.21 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | taerv534 | No / 0.1¢ | +88.05 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | +11.95 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | +1,099.05 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | BobbyB | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 1y | 11122 | No / 0.1¢ | +300.95 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | 11122 | No / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | resullt | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 11122 | No / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | southkor | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | SweetChariot | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,694.00 | $1.69K | |
| 1y | 11122 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,694.00 | $1.69 | |
| 1y | daniellll | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 11122 | No / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.1Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.52Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 89%$874Kvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
No 95%$18.4Kvolume