Volume
$437K
Txns
3,345
Traders
652
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 86%$437Kvolume
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
No 99%$127Kvolume
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes 75%$67.7Kvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 91%$711Kvolume
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 90%$187Kvolume
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Yes 67%$357Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | lemba-reka2 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +680.00 | $1.36 | |
| 2mo | MyMoon | Yes / 0.2¢ | -180.00 | $0.36 | |
| 2mo | 15Mins | Yes / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | HerrieDavis | Yes / 0.1¢ | -19.98 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -751.16 | $0.75 | |
| 2mo | alexkrg | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | Whiten | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | 0x92bb11Aa6E71aaEB4cea3C9A4EB915E2d5dC1AFB-1768960544824 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -668.92 | $0.67 | |
| 2mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | 0x686880EEA810Fa9141Be46A1aCec9Eee41755198-1770878625325 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,785.00 | $4.79 | |
| 2mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.98 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -665.52 | $0.67 | |
| 2mo | ouiouidescs | Yes / 0.1¢ | -250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | raymon1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.01 | $0.2 | |
| 2mo | labistiiia | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 2mo | scottvan3 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -208.43 | $0.21 | |
| 2mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -99.99 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | winla88 | No / 99.9¢ | -99.99 | $99.9 | |
| 2mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -137.83 | $0.14 | |
| 2mo | Polmcb | No / 99.9¢ | -137.83 | $138 | |
| 2mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | dinkooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2mo | morilun | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25