
Volume
$210
Txns
20
Traders
13
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$2,914
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | 0xE09108661b229AF9Dc07c45702878a430D571Cb6-1778402006168 | Yes / 17.8¢ | +5.62 | $1.04 | |
| 2h | Mojito9 | Yes / 17.8¢ | -5.62 | $1 | |
| 17h | godblessme2026 | No / 98.7¢ | +30.00 | $29.6 | |
| 17h | Mojito9 | Yes / 1.4¢ | +10.00 | $0.14 | |
| 17h | dpnd | Yes / 1.3¢ | +39.36 | $0.51 | |
| 17h | dpnd | Yes / 1.3¢ | +20.00 | $0.26 | |
| 17h | Anon321321 | No / 98.7¢ | +39.36 | $38.9 | |
| 17h | graynotebook19 | No / 63.7¢ | +50.00 | $31.9 | |
| 17h | TemuOracle | No / 85.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.5 | |
| 17h | IgorBgd | Yes / 21.5¢ | +139.81 | $31.2 | |
| 17h | TemuOracle | No / 91.0¢ | +20.00 | $18.2 | |
| 17h | flexer78 | Yes / 9.0¢ | -41.15 | $3.7 | |
| 17h | 0x60d8...a8915a | Yes / 5.9¢ | -6.34 | $0.37 | |
| 17h | graynotebook19 | No / 63.7¢ | +12.32 | $7.85 | |
| 17h | flexer78 | Yes / 4.0¢ | +41.16 | $1.65 | |
| 17h | 0x60d8...a8915a | Yes / 3.8¢ | -41.16 | $1.57 | |
| 1d | asezer | Yes / 8.0¢ | +12.50 | $1.05 | |
| 1d | 0x60d8...a8915a | Yes / 8.0¢ | -12.50 | $1 | |
| 2d | lupin78 | No / 98.0¢ | +31.44 | $30.8 | |
| 2d | AJSV | Yes / 2.0¢ | +31.44 | $0.63 |
1–20
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
No 96%$2.12Kvolume
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
No 79%$280Kvolume
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
No 75%$12.2Kvolume
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Yes 69%$551Kvolume
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
No 100%$525volume
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
No 99%$431volume