Volume
$115K
Txns
3,060
Traders
707
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | fabiozzer8989 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.01 | $5 | |
| 1mo | Cloverince | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +147.62 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | jjzzh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1mo | Cloverince | No / 99.9¢ | +8,572.62 | $8.56K | |
| 1mo | 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x24Bb267D0Eed85CDe28714bC7DcBf5e0a977C9f5-1773073480607 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | nikitaxce | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | laowen888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | LogicLiquidity | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | Biver52 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | rikitikitaki | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Hinshaw | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +25.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1mo | huadhudwq2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | gzezaeazeaze | No / 99.9¢ | -105.00 | $105 | |
| 1mo | qianbeicelue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1mo | thecaricature | Yes / 0.1¢ | +96.10 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | ELen | No / 99.9¢ | +96.10 | $96 |
1–25
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
No 99%$167Kvolume
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 98%$449Kvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 88%$344Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$229Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 60%$211Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 85%$484Kvolume