
Volume
$189K
Txns
4,178
Traders
707
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 13, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 95%$0volume
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwid…
No 92%$0volume
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher wo…
No 99%$0volume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 99%$0volume
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher w…
No 81%$0volume
Will 130 to 159 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?
No 75%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | jingyugzs05 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | WalterAbrams | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | jingyugzs05 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | St3f | No / 0.1¢ | +93.00 | $0.09 | |
| 7mo | PSignals.trade | Yes / 99.9¢ | +93.00 | $92.9 | |
| 7mo | Billy9028 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 7mo | PSignals.trade | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 7mo | St3f | No / 0.1¢ | +236.09 | $0.24 | |
| 7mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +236.09 | $236 | |
| 7mo | anthopper | Yes / 99.7¢ | -100.06 | $99.8 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.3¢ | -100.06 | $0.3 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +15.06 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | SweetChariot | No / 0.1¢ | -278.97 | $0.29 | |
| 7mo | St3f | No / 0.1¢ | +263.91 | $0.26 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +59.78 | $0.12 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +7.48 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | SweetChariot | No / 0.2¢ | -67.26 | $0.13 | |
| 7mo | 0x1a76 | Yes / 99.5¢ | -0.51 | $0.51 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +5.48 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +15.78 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +5.13 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +10.83 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +10.29 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | 9... | No / 0.2¢ | +10.61 | $0.02 |
1–25