Volume
$1K
Txns
61
Traders
28
Fees
$5
Ends
Jul 12, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 6, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2d | em...well | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2d | virgil666 | No / 99.9¢ | +155.00 | $155 | |
| 2d | northdrawer | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 2d | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3d | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +1.89 | $0.02 | |
| 3d | NotAnIdiot | No / 99.0¢ | +1.89 | $1.87 | |
| 3d | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +2.02 | $0.02 | |
| 3d | 0xF4fE4AeeA49C54aA73Ec946ab2Eebd02eE42F6E7-1757776368556 | No / 99.0¢ | +2.02 | $2 | |
| 3d | socksgreen3 | Yes / 1.0¢ | -1.08 | $0.01 | |
| 3d | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +1.08 | $0.01 | |
| 4d | TeenagePanda | No / 98.6¢ | -8.24 | $8.13 | |
| 4d | socksgreen3 | Yes / 1.3¢ | -8.24 | $0.11 | |
| 4d | Mojito9 | Yes / 1.3¢ | +10.00 | $0.13 | |
| 4d | dpndv2 | Yes / 1.1¢ | +42.41 | $0.47 | |
| 4d | bustybbe... | No / 98.8¢ | +61.73 | $61 | |
| 4d | socksgreen3 | Yes / 1.3¢ | +9.32 | $0.12 | |
| 4d | 0x994f...1c508d | Yes / 3.9¢ | -12.78 | $0.5 | |
| 4d | rrr222 | Yes / 11.4¢ | +87.56 | $10.4 | |
| 4d | NotAnIdiot | No / 96.2¢ | +11.70 | $11.3 | |
| 4d | lookywinwin | Yes / 21.0¢ | +47.62 | $10.4 | |
| 4d | KiruaTrading | No / 79.0¢ | +47.62 | $37.6 | |
| 4d | TeenagePanda | No / 84.9¢ | +8.24 | $7 | |
| 4d | KiruaTrading | No / 79.0¢ | +14.03 | $11.1 |
1–25
Megaquake by July 31?
No 93%$0volume
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Yes 53%$0volume
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
No 82%$0volume
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
No 82%$0volume
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
No 66%$0volume