Volume
$318
Txns
51
Traders
19
Fees
$1
Ends
Jul 26, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Trades
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
Yes 96%$0volume
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
No 87%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?
No 100%$0volume
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Yes 97%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 98%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h | Fishnoob611 | Yes / 13.0¢ | +76.92 | $10.4 | |
| 6h | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 87.0¢ | +53.00 | $46.1 | |
| 6h | LornaPredicts | No / 87.0¢ | +23.92 | $20.8 | |
| 20h | fsport | Yes / 6.0¢ | +5.34 | $0.32 | |
| 20h | sbel | No / 94.0¢ | +5.34 | $5.04 | |
| 21h | flywheelpoly | Yes / 8.0¢ | -31.74 | $2.54 | |
| 21h | Ricil | Yes / 7.9¢ | +50.93 | $4.18 | |
| 21h | Laribobibo | Yes / 7.0¢ | -7.40 | $0.52 | |
| 21h | 0x9afc...b3314b | No / 92.0¢ | +11.79 | $10.8 | |
| 1d | flywheelpoly | Yes / 6.0¢ | +13.46 | $0.81 | |
| 1d | Escumish | Yes / 5.7¢ | -20.00 | $1.14 | |
| 1d | 0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718 | Yes / 6.0¢ | +6.54 | $0.39 | |
| 1d | flywheelpoly | Yes / 7.0¢ | +35.87 | $2.51 | |
| 1d | Escumish | Yes / 7.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.4 | |
| 1d | 0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836 | No / 93.0¢ | +55.87 | $52.1 | |
| 1d | cigarettes | No / 93.0¢ | +8.53 | $7.96 | |
| 1d | flywheelpoly | Yes / 7.0¢ | +8.53 | $0.6 | |
| 1d | cigarettes | No / 93.0¢ | +17.20 | $16.1 | |
| 1d | flywheelpoly | Yes / 7.0¢ | +17.20 | $1.2 | |
| 1d | flywheelpoly | Yes / 7.0¢ | +18.38 | $1.29 | |
| 1d | donthackme | No / 93.0¢ | +18.38 | $17.1 | |
| 1d | nonono001 | No / 93.0¢ | +2.75 | $2.57 | |
| 1d | flywheelpoly | Yes / 7.0¢ | +2.75 | $0.19 | |
| 1d | flywheelpoly | Yes / 7.0¢ | +6.61 | $0.46 | |
| 1d | donthackme | No / 93.0¢ | +6.61 | $6.17 |
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