
Volume
$39K
Txns
106
Traders
35
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 5, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of seasonally adjusted initial unemployment insurance claims (initial claims) made in the US during the week ending February 28, 2026, according to the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) for the specified week. The DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report is typically released on Thursday at 8:30 ET, referencing data for the previous week (the week ending on the previous Saturday), with limited exceptions. Upon release, the report will be made available here: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf This market may resolve as soon as the specified report with relevant data is released. If no Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the specified week is released within 14 calendar days of the date on which the reference week ended, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report released for the specified week (https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf).
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$26.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 77%$24.7Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$14.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$10Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 65%$5.91Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$9.27Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0x43e8...b8af56 | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | ggmggn | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 3mo | 09F911029D74 | No / 0.1¢ | +265.86 | $0.27 | |
| 3mo | ggmggn | Yes / 99.9¢ | +365.86 | $365 | |
| 3mo | wendypeekaboo | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | JusDuB | Yes / 99.9¢ | +24.13 | $24.1 | |
| 3mo | 09F911029D74 | No / 0.1¢ | +24.13 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | 09F911029D74 | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | rneowanreiowanr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | rneowanreiowanr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | 09F911029D74 | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | 09F911029D74 | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 3mo | rneowanreiowanr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 3mo | 09F911029D74 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | rneowanreiowanr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | 09F911029D74 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | L.X | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 3mo | gianw0 | No / 30.0¢ | -90.00 | $27 | |
| 3mo | arb-dog0 | Yes / 70.0¢ | -90.00 | $63 | |
| 3mo | arb-dog0 | Yes / 51.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.55 | |
| 3mo | etherkid | Yes / 51.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.55 | |
| 3mo | 0x5d07Daf79901CD907fd57A844c61D6b8fEeA5B99-1772304194811 | Yes / 98.9¢ | +101.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | arb-dog0 | No / 1.1¢ | +101.00 | $1.11 | |
| 3mo | 0x5d07Daf79901CD907fd57A844c61D6b8fEeA5B99-1772304194811 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $990 | |
| 3mo | lapwj | No / 1.0¢ | +1,000.00 | $10 |
1–25