
Volume
$22K
Txns
1,692
Traders
395
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
This market will resolve according to the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from the People's Republic of China on April 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Chinese imports would equal a 60% tariff). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Item specific exceptions or increases will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +1,225.79 | $1.22K | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,225.79 | $1.23 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.43 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +13.43 | $13.4 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +84.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +84.00 | $83.9 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +79.01 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Cajetan | No / 99.9¢ | +79.01 | $78.9 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.44 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | influenz.eth | No / 99.9¢ | +17.44 | $17.4 | |
| 1y | din45 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.33 | $10.3 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.8Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 100%$11.6Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$2.16Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 84%$1.67Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.54Mvolume
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 80%$541Kvolume