
Volume
$512
Txns
59
Traders
25
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$252
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.44Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 87%$107Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
No 53%$186Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90%$2.03Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$727Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 62%$64Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | R18helloworld | Yes / 52.0¢ | -10.10 | $5.25 | |
| 10d | R18helloworld | Yes / 27.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.35 | |
| 10d | 0xe52d...e2b4db | Yes / 42.0¢ | +23.07 | $9.92 | |
| 10d | TraderProMax | Yes / 76.0¢ | -2.17 | $1.65 | |
| 10d | Mojito9 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -5.80 | $1.45 | |
| 12d | 1DVSBSTD | No / 85.0¢ | -5.88 | $5 | |
| 12d | 0xCe739F4Ef22120187fA204AAac41374bcB870B30-1768828027807 | Yes / 14.5¢ | -5.88 | $0.85 | |
| 18d | Gundamn | Yes / 17.0¢ | +5.88 | $1.03 | |
| 18d | peepeepooppoop | No / 83.0¢ | +5.88 | $4.88 | |
| 23d | RITB123 | No / 84.0¢ | +12.00 | $10.1 | |
| 23d | peepeepooppoop | No / 84.0¢ | -12.00 | $10.1 | |
| 23d | littlebird | No / 83.0¢ | +7.07 | $5.91 | |
| 23d | R18helloworld | Yes / 17.0¢ | +7.07 | $1.2 | |
| 25d | 0xCe739F4Ef22120187fA204AAac41374bcB870B30-1768828027807 | Yes / 17.0¢ | +5.88 | $1.03 | |
| 25d | peepeepooppoop | No / 83.0¢ | +5.88 | $4.88 | |
| 28d | 0xE87d10Bf13869cD71fA88c23d42954dCD62DA071-1772816907608 | Yes / 15.5¢ | -1.28 | $0.2 | |
| 28d | R18helloworld | Yes / 16.0¢ | +1.28 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | test.saveliyb.test | No / 76.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.6 | |
| 1mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 24.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.44 | |
| 1mo | test.saveliyb.test | No / 76.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.6 | |
| 1mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 24.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.44 | |
| 1mo | test.saveliyb.test | No / 76.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.6 | |
| 1mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 24.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.44 | |
| 1mo | test.saveliyb.test | No / 76.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.6 | |
| 1mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 24.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.44 |
1–25