Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.00% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?
ActiveVolume
$23
Txns
35
Traders
15
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$106
Volume
$23
Txns
35
Traders
15
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$106
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms. This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$21.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$20.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 51%$4.67Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | orbitalcoins2 | No / 53.0¢ | -0.12 | $0.06 | |
| 16d | peepeepooppoop | No / 54.0¢ | +0.12 | $0.06 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | No / 36.0¢ | +1.07 | $0.39 | |
| 1mo | CryptoPreeti | No / 35.1¢ | -1.07 | $0.38 | |
| 1mo | peepeepooppoop | Yes / 7.0¢ | +1.08 | $0.08 | |
| 1mo | CryptoPreeti | No / 93.2¢ | +1.07 | $1 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 24.0¢ | +2.63 | $0.63 | |
| 1mo | 0x5906bC7280cc6ba8d33623d49395Be24F5CFc04c-1736364306154 | No / 76.0¢ | +2.63 | $2 | |
| 1mo | R18helloworld | Yes / 24.0¢ | +4.95 | $1.19 | |
| 1mo | Arden312 | Yes / 24.0¢ | -4.95 | $1.19 | |
| 1mo | Peterik123 | No / 9.0¢ | -1.13 | $0.1 | |
| 1mo | romanew-7-spread05 | No / 9.0¢ | +1.13 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | romanew-7-spread05 | Yes / 9.0¢ | +1.25 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | Bitjana77 | Yes / 9.0¢ | -1.25 | $0.11 | |
| 2mo | Bitjana77 | Yes / 80.0¢ | +1.25 | $1 | |
| 2mo | orbitalcoins2 | No / 20.0¢ | +1.25 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | Arden312 | Yes / 95.0¢ | +4.96 | $4.71 | |
| 2mo | hesure | No / 5.0¢ | +4.96 | $0.25 | |
| 3mo | NFLandChill | Yes / 2.0¢ | +1.13 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | bulber | Yes / 2.0¢ | -1.13 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | Peterik123 | No / 50.0¢ | +1.14 | $0.57 | |
| 4mo | Itsfurreal | No / 50.0¢ | -1.14 | $0.57 | |
| 4mo | Itsfurreal | Yes / 6.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | Aswef | No / 94.0¢ | +1.06 | $1 | |
| 4mo | Itsfurreal | No / 12.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.12 |
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