
Volume
$523
Txns
41
Traders
14
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$8,736
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Starship upper stage for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test flight achieves a controlled splashdown in the ocean. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". A splashdown will be considered controlled if the Starship upper stage successfully re-enters Earth's atmosphere, remains intact during descent, and enters the water without breaking apart or exploding upon impact. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.44Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
No 85%$106Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Yes 58%$185Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 90%$2.03Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 99%$727Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 62%$64Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h | 0x6B11FB81561815995a6D8Ed3B90dD95D3F4838e8-1772021569855 | Yes / 76.7¢ | +38.43 | $29.5 | |
| 17h | 0x2712...c4eb71 | No / 23.0¢ | +31.77 | $7.31 | |
| 17h | dropmeplease | No / 25.0¢ | +6.66 | $1.67 | |
| 1d | 0x6B11FB81561815995a6D8Ed3B90dD95D3F4838e8-1772021569855 | Yes / 75.0¢ | +13.33 | $10 | |
| 1d | dropmeplease | No / 25.0¢ | +13.33 | $3.33 | |
| 1d | dropmeplease | Yes / 75.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.75 | |
| 1d | eduplain | Yes / 75.0¢ | -5.00 | $3.75 | |
| 1d | dropmeplease | Yes / 75.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.75 | |
| 1d | 0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051 | No / 25.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 2d | 0x6B11FB81561815995a6D8Ed3B90dD95D3F4838e8-1772021569855 | Yes / 73.1¢ | +8.21 | $6 | |
| 2d | 1walrus | No / 21.0¢ | +1.28 | $0.27 | |
| 2d | GonTanaka | Yes / 72.0¢ | -6.93 | $4.99 | |
| 2d | GonTanaka | Yes / 72.0¢ | -138.89 | $100 | |
| 2d | Chayzon | Yes / 72.0¢ | +138.89 | $100 | |
| 2d | eduplain | Yes / 70.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.5 | |
| 2d | 0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051 | No / 30.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.5 | |
| 3d | 0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051 | No / 31.0¢ | +3.23 | $1 | |
| 3d | 0x1c93...2839af | No / 31.0¢ | -3.23 | $1 | |
| 4d | GonTanaka | Yes / 78.0¢ | +7.26 | $5.66 | |
| 4d | AJSV | No / 22.0¢ | +7.26 | $1.6 | |
| 4d | Letsgo-baby | No / 21.0¢ | -20.00 | $4.2 | |
| 4d | 1walrus | No / 21.0¢ | +20.00 | $4.2 | |
| 4d | 0x2712...c4eb71 | No / 28.0¢ | +15.71 | $4.4 | |
| 4d | GonTanaka | Yes / 72.0¢ | +42.85 | $30.9 | |
| 4d | GonTanaka | Yes / 72.0¢ | +15.71 | $11.3 |
1–25