Will the SPD receive more than 15% of votes?

The 2024 European Parliament election in Germany is scheduled to be held on June 9, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the SPD (Social Democratic Party of Germany) receives over 15% of votes cast in the 2024 European Parliament election in Germany. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.