
Volume
$113K
Txns
14,931
Traders
649
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 5, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes” if the Republican Party candidate wins the popular vote in Pennsylvania in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by between 0% (inclusive) and 0.5% (exclusive) when compared with the second place candidate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the Republican Party candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in Pennsylvania for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. This market will resolve based off the official vote count once Pennsylvania has certified the vote. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.3¢ | -250.00 | $0.75 | |
| 1y | kimikotanaka89 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -62.50 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | DarkHunter91 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +312.50 | $1 | |
| 1y | miajohnyourson | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,668.16 | $2.67 | |
| 1y | kimikotanaka89 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,668.16 | $2.67 | |
| 1y | greatproduct | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | greatbuilder | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | wujun666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -35.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Perception | Yes / 0.1¢ | +517.10 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | marketzero | Yes / 0.1¢ | -482.10 | $0.48 | |
| 1y | marketzero | Yes / 0.1¢ | -444.00 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | Messenger | Yes / 0.1¢ | +444.00 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | wujun666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | marketzero | Yes / 0.1¢ | -35.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | marketzero | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | tripgo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ybj | No / 99.9¢ | -33.90 | $33.9 | |
| 1y | marketzero | Yes / 0.1¢ | -33.90 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Breezy-Entrance | Yes / 0.1¢ | -15,726.52 | $15.7 | |
| 1y | Hearts2Hearts | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14,517.75 | $14.5 | |
| 1y | ybj | No / 99.9¢ | -1,208.77 | $1.21K | |
| 1y | Hearts2Hearts | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.20 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | pOPiT | No / 99.9¢ | +200.20 | $200 | |
| 1y | ybj | No / 99.9¢ | +1,242.67 | $1.24K | |
| 1y | Hearts2Hearts | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,242.21 | $1.24 |
1–25
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?
Yes 93%$6.23Kvolume
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?
No 95%$11.5Kvolume
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+
No 100%$2.72Mvolume
Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?
No 100%$123Kvolume
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Yes 100%$10.6Mvolume
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
No 100%$603Kvolume