
Volume
$166
Txns
34
Traders
16
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST). An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate. If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | NotMasterFan | Yes / 94.0¢ | +23.67 | $22.3 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 6.0¢ | +16.67 | $1 | |
| 2d | 0xf528...127e5b | Yes / 94.0¢ | -7.00 | $6.58 | |
| 2d | bobbobobobo | Yes / 74.1¢ | -6.66 | $4.93 | |
| 2d | winexecutescale | Yes / 75.0¢ | +6.66 | $5 | |
| 4d | rogercity | Yes / 85.0¢ | +1.18 | $1.01 | |
| 4d | AJSV | No / 15.0¢ | +1.18 | $0.18 | |
| 4d | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 28.0¢ | +8.00 | $2.32 | |
| 4d | AJSV | Yes / 72.0¢ | +8.00 | $5.76 | |
| 4d | 0xf528...127e5b | Yes / 68.0¢ | +7.00 | $4.76 | |
| 4d | 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060 | No / 32.0¢ | +7.00 | $2.32 | |
| 4d | SaulSancho | Yes / 71.0¢ | +14.99 | $10.8 | |
| 4d | godblessme2026 | No / 29.0¢ | +14.99 | $4.35 | |
| 4d | AJSV | No / 30.0¢ | +15.52 | $4.66 | |
| 4d | SaulSancho | Yes / 70.0¢ | +15.52 | $11 | |
| 4d | Compound-57 | Yes / 85.0¢ | +11.76 | $10.1 | |
| 4d | AJSV | No / 15.0¢ | +11.76 | $1.76 | |
| 4d | bobbobobobo | Yes / 75.0¢ | +6.67 | $5.06 | |
| 4d | AJSV | No / 25.0¢ | +6.67 | $1.67 | |
| 4d | hjh247 | Yes / 79.0¢ | +1.27 | $1.01 | |
| 4d | godblessme2026 | No / 21.0¢ | +1.27 | $0.27 | |
| 4d | Tee1000 | No / 20.0¢ | +1.25 | $0.25 | |
| 4d | hjh247 | Yes / 80.0¢ | +1.25 | $1.01 | |
| 4d | Tee1000 | No / 23.0¢ | +1.30 | $0.3 | |
| 4d | hjh247 | Yes / 77.0¢ | +1.30 | $1.01 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$71.1Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$10.4Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.44Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 85%$1.62Mvolume
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 80%$525Kvolume
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
No 92%$36.5Kvolume