
Volume
$444K
Txns
4,486
Traders
642
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Mozgoprav | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | retelev | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | retelev | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 420ToWin | Yes / 0.1¢ | -999.99 | $1 | |
| 1y | 87879809837209837982 | No / 99.9¢ | -999.99 | $999 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -65.54 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | Yes / 0.1¢ | -755.94 | $0.76 | |
| 1y | 87879809837209837982 | No / 99.9¢ | -821.48 | $821 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.8¢ | +2,600.00 | $2.59K | |
| 1y | 87879809837209837982 | No / 99.8¢ | -7,100.00 | $7.09K | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.8¢ | +1,000.00 | $998 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,501.46 | $3 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1,998.54 | $4 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | 87879809837209837982 | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | 87879809837209837982 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,560.02 | $1.56K | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | EvaristeGalois | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.02 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,001.46 | $3 | |
| 1y | longtern | No / 99.9¢ | +3,001.46 | $3K | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,948.54 | $1.95 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | +1,948.54 | $1.95K | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 |
1–25
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Yes 53%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 66%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August…
No 96%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in August 2026?
No 98%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August…
No 88%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?
No 80%$0volume