
Volume
$224K
Txns
3,566
Traders
357
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of between 1.35°C (inclusive) 1.39°C (inclusive) and when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.35°C and 1.39°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Trades
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
No 41%$0volume
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 55%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 20…
No 95%$0volume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 20…
Yes 84%$0volume
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
No 99%$0volume
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Mozgoprav | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | 87879809837209837982 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,665.63 | $1.66K | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -355.63 | $0.36 | |
| 1y | Schorle65 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,260.00 | $1.26 | |
| 1y | Schorle65 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Bot9735 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.09 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +17.09 | $17.1 | |
| 1y | Bot9735 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +515.12 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +515.12 | $515 | |
| 1y | Bot9735 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +93.96 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +93.96 | $93.9 | |
| 1y | Bot9735 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,006.59 | $1.01 | |
| 1y | Schorle65 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,006.59 | $1.01 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 99.8¢ | -107.18 | $107 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | Yes / 0.2¢ | -307.18 | $0.61 | |
| 1y | hasso422 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | retelev | Yes / 0.2¢ | -300.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1y | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 99.8¢ | -300.00 | $299 | |
| 1y | cuno | Yes / 0.3¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 99.7¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | hasso422 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +6.07 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.7¢ | +6.07 | $6.05 |
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