Will the next US Speaker be elected in five or more ballots?
ResolvedVolume
$10K
Txns
258
Traders
45
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 3, 2025
Volume
$10K
Txns
258
Traders
45
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 3, 2025
The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the House for the 119th United States Congress is elected on the fifth or later ballot. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any individual elected to be, appointed to be, or serving as Speaker pro tempore in the 119th congress will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | Poly24 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +30.00 | $0.6 | |
| 1y | dadadabababab | No / 98.0¢ | +30.00 | $29.4 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 4.0¢ | +113.00 | $4.52 | |
| 1y | abeautifulmind | No / 96.0¢ | +113.00 | $108 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 4.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Gako | Yes / 4.0¢ | -187.00 | $7.48 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 4.0¢ | +167.00 | $6.68 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 4.0¢ | -280.00 | $11.2 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 4.0¢ | +280.00 | $11.2 | |
| 1y | Republican-179 | Yes / 3.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 3.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | abeautifulmind | No / 92.0¢ | +22.00 | $20.2 | |
| 1y | MMousse | No / 92.0¢ | -22.00 | $20.2 | |
| 1y | MMousse | No / 91.0¢ | -22.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 9.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.45 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 10.0¢ | +13.00 | $1.3 | |
| 1y | Bundt-cake | Yes / 9.3¢ | -40.00 | $3.73 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 10.0¢ | +10.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 90.0¢ | +10.00 | $9 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 90.0¢ | +10.00 | $9 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 10.0¢ | +10.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | pantomime | No / 88.0¢ | +80.00 | $70.4 | |
| 1y | sipp- | No / 88.0¢ | -50.00 | $44 |
1–25
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
No 86%$3.15Kvolume
Will reconciliation bill be passed by Memorial day?
No 100%$57Kvolume
Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Yes 100%$391Kvolume
Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 30% and 35%?
No 100%$478Kvolume
210 or fewer votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?
No 100%$9.36Kvolume
213 votes for Mike Johnson to be Speaker on first ballot?
No 100%$726volume