Will the next Pope be a dark horse candidate?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next individual elected as pope is someone other than any of the following candidates: Pietro Parolin, Luis Antonio Tagle, Matteo Zuppi, Pierbattista Pizzaballa, Péter Erdő, Peter Turkson, or Jean‑Marc Aveline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If no new pope is elected by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Catholic Church, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.