
Volume
$4K
Txns
235
Traders
51
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
No 95%$579Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
No 71%$879Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 89%$326Kvolume
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Yes 97%$295Kvolume
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
No 96%$374Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 99%$4.19Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | 0xK9895C337CD7a93e845970f7B3AF6ea163870 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 21d | zhang1244 | No / 99.9¢ | +14.00 | $14 | |
| 22d | 0x8304123Dd255e78dDC9b76810ed6c9e8d2774E7b-1772787658259 | No / 99.9¢ | +69.00 | $68.9 | |
| 22d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +69.00 | $0.07 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +131.13 | $0.13 | |
| 23d | hzjxzqpa | No / 99.9¢ | +131.13 | $131 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +151.00 | $0.15 | |
| 23d | 0x0F196F6dc82B32Fb0ecEDF103629B988CFd28Bc3-1770484185066 | No / 99.9¢ | +151.00 | $151 | |
| 23d | donthackme | No / 99.9¢ | +31.70 | $31.7 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.70 | $0.03 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.04 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475 | No / 99.9¢ | +8.04 | $8.03 | |
| 23d | donthackme | No / 99.9¢ | +96.17 | $96.1 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +96.17 | $0.1 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +98.00 | $0.1 | |
| 23d | smallreceipt | No / 99.9¢ | +98.00 | $97.9 | |
| 23d | JudahAndrews | No / 99.9¢ | +7.86 | $7.85 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7.86 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.23 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | JairAguilar | No / 99.9¢ | +10.23 | $10.2 | |
| 23d | grinopro | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.89 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | RylanJones | No / 99.9¢ | +5.89 | $5.88 | |
| 23d | BaileeShelton | No / 99.9¢ | +7.06 | $7.05 |
1–25