Volume
$2K
Txns
163
Traders
35
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$1.95Mvolume
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.34Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 84%$1.4Mvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 97%$586Kvolume
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$448Kvolume
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 100%$472Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30m | planktonXD | Yes / 6.0¢ | +6.44 | $0.4 | |
| 30m | qcp14 | No / 94.0¢ | +6.44 | $6.05 | |
| 49m | George.Smiley | Yes / 4.0¢ | +10.42 | $0.42 | |
| 49m | 0x083c...6ba6ed | No / 96.0¢ | +10.42 | $10.1 | |
| 50m | George.Smiley | Yes / 4.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.2 | |
| 50m | 0x2a8537Fed0E0ad24869ecd1A11f20Cb96eBA54c1-1776677063080 | No / 96.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.81 | |
| 50m | George.Smiley | Yes / 4.0¢ | +1.04 | $0.04 | |
| 50m | 0xca4c...fb186f | No / 96.0¢ | +1.04 | $1 | |
| 50m | northdrawer | No / 87.0¢ | +1.04 | $0.9 | |
| 50m | 0xf7d5...715ee7 | No / 86.5¢ | -1.04 | $0.9 | |
| 50m | George.Smiley | Yes / 6.9¢ | +884.43 | $63.1 | |
| 50m | DREAMBIG. | No / 93.0¢ | +200.00 | $186 | |
| 50m | northdrawer | No / 90.0¢ | +45.00 | $40.5 | |
| 50m | DooBieZ | No / 94.0¢ | +150.00 | $141 | |
| 50m | Novus0rdoSeclorum | No / 90.0¢ | +33.00 | $29.7 | |
| 50m | 0x166c...46fcbb | Yes / 7.0¢ | -94.63 | $6.62 | |
| 50m | DREAMBIG. | No / 94.0¢ | +100.00 | $94 | |
| 50m | northdrawer | No / 93.0¢ | +30.00 | $27.9 | |
| 50m | DREAMBIG. | No / 93.0¢ | +100.00 | $93 | |
| 50m | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 94.0¢ | +99.80 | $93.8 | |
| 50m | balthazar | No / 93.0¢ | +25.00 | $23.3 | |
| 50m | Corlys | No / 92.0¢ | +7.00 | $6.44 | |
| 1h | donthackme | No / 95.0¢ | +20.89 | $19.9 | |
| 1h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +20.89 | $1.04 | |
| 1h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 5.0¢ | +1.39 | $0.07 |
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