Volume
$447
Txns
36
Traders
16
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$872
Ends
Nov 3, 2026
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elec…
Yes 55%$0volume
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 69%$0volume
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elec…
No 55%$0volume
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
No 72%$0volume
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?
No 72%$0volume
Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
No 56%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h | ImSweating | No / 25.2¢ | -10.00 | $2.52 | |
| 10h | billygod | No / 26.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.6 | |
| 10h | ImSweating | No / 27.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.7 | |
| 10h | LastOrder | No / 26.2¢ | -30.00 | $7.86 | |
| 10h | 0xca75...390a64 | No / 27.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.4 | |
| 11h | Mojito9 | No / 27.0¢ | +10.00 | $2.7 | |
| 11h | LastOrder | No / 26.2¢ | -10.00 | $2.62 | |
| 11h | LastOrder | No / 26.0¢ | +40.00 | $10.4 | |
| 11h | fvfvwww | No / 25.2¢ | -40.00 | $10.1 | |
| 15h | 0xca75...390a64 | No / 27.0¢ | -20.00 | $5.4 | |
| 15h | AJSV | No / 27.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.56 | |
| 1d | ASFYQ78 | No / 31.1¢ | -32.00 | $9.96 | |
| 1d | R79dgahr | Yes / 68.0¢ | -32.00 | $21.8 | |
| 1d | R79dgahr | Yes / 68.0¢ | -4.00 | $2.72 | |
| 1d | friendlyreward | No / 31.1¢ | -4.00 | $1.25 | |
| 1d | R79dgahr | Yes / 68.0¢ | -20.00 | $13.6 | |
| 1d | scalingrewards | No / 31.1¢ | -20.00 | $6.23 | |
| 1d | friendlyreward | No / 34.1¢ | -16.00 | $5.45 | |
| 1d | resilience26 | No / 35.0¢ | +16.00 | $5.6 | |
| 1d | resilience26 | No / 35.0¢ | +40.00 | $14 | |
| 1d | eatMaker | No / 34.1¢ | -40.00 | $13.6 | |
| 1d | billygod | No / 38.0¢ | -21.00 | $7.98 | |
| 1d | AJSV | No / 38.0¢ | +21.00 | $8.18 | |
| 1d | eatMaker | No / 38.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.6 | |
| 1d | ASFYQ78 | No / 39.0¢ | +32.00 | $12.5 |
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