
Volume
$35K
Txns
1,253
Traders
119
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 6, 2025
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2025. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question. The next data release is scheduled for June 6, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 84%$20.8Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 55%$4.56Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 84%$1.4Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | lissartter | No / 99.0¢ | -50.00 | $49.5 | |
| 1y | njuz | No / 99.0¢ | +90.01 | $89.1 | |
| 1y | caroline.name | No / 99.0¢ | -40.01 | $39.6 | |
| 1y | RiskyBiscuit | Yes / 33.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.65 | |
| 1y | lihanleo | Yes / 33.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.65 | |
| 1y | puravida | No / 73.0¢ | -7.09 | $5.18 | |
| 1y | Malicious | Yes / 27.8¢ | -38.18 | $10.6 | |
| 1y | trump.imp | No / 72.0¢ | -31.09 | $22.4 | |
| 1y | trump.imp | No / 72.0¢ | -50.90 | $36.6 | |
| 1y | Malicious | Yes / 28.0¢ | -50.90 | $14.3 | |
| 1y | 0x41ff...57ec85 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +610.00 | $177 | |
| 1y | 0x5896...8e37b1 | No / 71.0¢ | +375.00 | $266 | |
| 1y | 0x5896...8e37b1 | No / 71.0¢ | +610.00 | $433 | |
| 1y | 0x360a...214f30 | Yes / 29.0¢ | +15.00 | $4.35 | |
| 1y | 0x5b8c...70a4ec | Yes / 29.0¢ | +375.00 | $109 | |
| 1y | 0x5896...8e37b1 | No / 71.0¢ | +15.00 | $10.7 | |
| 1y | RiskyBiscuit | Yes / 33.0¢ | -12.12 | $4 | |
| 1y | Malicious | Yes / 33.0¢ | +12.12 | $4 | |
| 1y | RiskyBiscuit | Yes / 33.0¢ | -4.12 | $1.36 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | Yes / 33.0¢ | -1.94 | $0.64 | |
| 1y | Malicious | Yes / 33.0¢ | +6.06 | $2 | |
| 1y | trump.imp | No / 68.0¢ | +8.88 | $6.04 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | Yes / 33.0¢ | -58.06 | $19.2 | |
| 1y | Letsgobro | Yes / 32.9¢ | +66.94 | $22 | |
| 1y | Malicious | Yes / 32.0¢ | +12.50 | $4 |
1–25