
Volume
$213K
Txns
2,452
Traders
628
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +27.86 | $27.8 | |
| 7mo | pereira1970 | No / 99.9¢ | -27.86 | $27.8 | |
| 7mo | 0x99bc...784f35 | No / 99.9¢ | -95.40 | $95.3 | |
| 7mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +95.40 | $95.3 | |
| 7mo | Jep-G | No / 99.9¢ | -882.37 | $881 | |
| 7mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +882.37 | $881 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +399.96 | $400 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +69.41 | $0.07 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +47.81 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +33.46 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +101.10 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.48 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.23 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +52.47 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.23 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | haohaohao1 | No / 99.9¢ | +37.23 | $37.2 | |
| 7mo | youyou77 | No / 99.9¢ | +58.48 | $58.4 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.48 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | feifeiddd | No / 99.9¢ | +101.10 | $101 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +101.10 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | Evador | Yes / 0.1¢ | +69.41 | $0.07 |
1–25
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 56%$55Mvolume
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 56%$40.5Mvolume
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Yes 90%$64.8Kvolume
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?
No 81%$9.26Kvolume
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
No 92%$80.3Kvolume
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Yes 55%$78.9Kvolume