
Volume
$1M
Txns
10,371
Traders
1,619
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Trades
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 56%$55Mvolume
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 56%$40.5Mvolume
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Yes 90%$64.8Kvolume
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
No 92%$6.29Kvolume
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
No 93%$4.42Kvolume
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?
No 81%$9.26Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | Bigyuan | No / 99.9¢ | -64.15 | $64.1 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +64.15 | $64.1 | |
| 7mo | bsklwd | No / 99.9¢ | -74.30 | $74.2 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +74.30 | $74.2 | |
| 7mo | mimangqi | No / 99.9¢ | -1,005.00 | $1K | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +1,005.00 | $1K | |
| 7mo | aosikaa | No / 99.9¢ | -120.34 | $120 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +120.34 | $120 | |
| 7mo | 0x6B37b2C41054e26ae2f8F126a304C5B4F05AE993-1761534571508 | No / 99.9¢ | -8.49 | $8.48 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +8.49 | $8.48 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | R3ntisdue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +405.11 | $405 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +1,347.64 | $1.35K | |
| 7mo | 0xE7ea64e9acF4427678febB7cc9BAEdf7995cDd4 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,752.75 | $1.75K | |
| 7mo | lindsey17 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,130.00 | $1.13 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +1,130.00 | $1.13K | |
| 7mo | wburgess | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,240.00 | $1.24 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +1,240.00 | $1.24K | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +1,190.00 | $1.19K | |
| 7mo | krystalwalker | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,190.00 | $1.19 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +1,160.00 | $1.16K | |
| 7mo | sbarajas | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,160.00 | $1.16 | |
| 7mo | saramcconnell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,150.00 | $1.15 | |
| 7mo | Debosnys | No / 99.9¢ | +1,150.00 | $1.15K |
1–25