
Volume
$5M
Txns
37,194
Traders
4,245
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Trades
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 54%$55Mvolume
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 56%$40.5Mvolume
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Yes 93%$65.2Kvolume
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
No 52%$79.5Kvolume
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
No 90%$80.6Kvolume
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?
No 81%$9.34Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +782.30 | $782 | |
| 7mo | Frick | Yes / 99.9¢ | -782.30 | $782 | |
| 7mo | qian44 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -182.00 | $182 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +182.00 | $182 | |
| 7mo | 0x57234cD1f296B75740CF0f13553A7422ef3850C4-1762341832932 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 7mo | Rocamado | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | chayen | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | 0x07Ad3f4370BF021464C1FE3739396C8506763eA6-1762279035716 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -81.90 | $81.8 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +81.90 | $81.8 | |
| 7mo | Gmoney123 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,868.92 | $3.87K | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,443.64 | $1.44K | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +425.28 | $425 | |
| 7mo | 0x6E8dB4a86e7f856D181ca4A7b5668eBb0415e019-1762911437816 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8,065.91 | $8.06K | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,509.55 | $1.51K | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +556.36 | $556 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +509.55 | $509 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K |
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