
Volume
$3M
Txns
14,359
Traders
1,950
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 79%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 75%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 75%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11.49 | $11.5 | |
| 8mo | likda | Yes / 99.9¢ | -11.49 | $11.5 | |
| 8mo | MiWaanItAal | Yes / 99.9¢ | +731.69 | $731 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -731.69 | $731 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | sisimon | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | 369market | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,800.00 | $1.8K | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,800.00 | $1.8K | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -400.00 | $400 | |
| 8mo | OPvqhalfMa | No / 0.1¢ | -400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 8mo | YzqsaNmvWv | No / 0.1¢ | -400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -400.00 | $400 | |
| 8mo | nonkenny90 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.30 | $0.3 | |
| 8mo | Dr.PNL | No / 0.1¢ | -0.30 | $0 | |
| 8mo | Dr.PNL | No / 0.1¢ | -199.70 | $0.2 | |
| 8mo | Lena. | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,727.00 | $1.73K | |
| 8mo | beforeimagination | No / 0.1¢ | -1,327.30 | $1.33 | |
| 8mo | AstonMartinEnjoyer | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 8mo | beforeimagination | No / 0.1¢ | -1.38 | $0 | |
| 8mo | xph6kcandancehartstein | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.38 | $1.38 | |
| 8mo | hhh5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.02 | $20 | |
| 8mo | beforeimagination | No / 0.1¢ | -20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | beforeimagination | No / 0.1¢ | -30.42 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | 676868 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -30.42 | $30.4 | |
| 8mo | 88866655 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -48.20 | $48.2 |
1–25