
Volume
$408K
Txns
7,325
Traders
720
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for December 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for December 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2024 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 94%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 97%$0volume
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
Yes 66%$0volume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 60%$0volume
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide…
Yes 61%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | futuremultimillionaire | Yes / 0.1¢ | -755.00 | $0.76 | |
| 1y | sorcerer.11 | No / 99.9¢ | -755.00 | $754 | |
| 1y | futuremultimillionaire | Yes / 0.1¢ | -800.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | sorcerer.11 | No / 99.9¢ | -800.00 | $799 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | 0xhhrc | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | mikea | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | futuremultimillionaire | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6,018.80 | $6.02 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,818.80 | $4.82 | |
| 1y | yuppis | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | poksa | Yes / 0.1¢ | +980.00 | $0.98 | |
| 1y | MakerOne | Yes / 0.1¢ | +60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | No / 99.9¢ | +302.67 | $302 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +302.67 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | No / 99.9¢ | +302.67 | $302 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +302.67 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +907.09 | $0.91 | |
| 1y | oVyg7f | No / 99.9¢ | +907.09 | $906 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +84.24 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,168.43 | $1.17 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +1,168.43 | $1.17K | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +84.24 | $84.2 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +225.75 | $0.23 | |
| 1y | wokerjoesleeper | No / 99.9¢ | +225.75 | $226 | |
| 1y | Winner90 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +29.53 | $0.03 |
1–25