
Volume
$92
Txns
14
Traders
8
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$9,253
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 13th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the 13th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 13th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 13th launch, and this market will stay open until the 13th launch has occurred. If the 13th launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | eduplain | No / 90.0¢ | +3.52 | $3.17 | |
| 3h | 0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051 | No / 90.0¢ | -3.52 | $3.17 | |
| 1d | Slackjaw | Yes / 15.0¢ | +16.00 | $2.4 | |
| 1d | GonTanaka | No / 85.0¢ | +16.00 | $13.6 | |
| 1d | Slackjaw | Yes / 15.0¢ | +2.35 | $0.35 | |
| 1d | 0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051 | No / 85.0¢ | +2.35 | $2 | |
| 1d | Slackjaw | Yes / 15.0¢ | +1.18 | $0.18 | |
| 1d | 0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051 | No / 85.0¢ | +1.18 | $1 | |
| 1d | 0x2d91...3cf592 | No / 81.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.1 | |
| 1d | IwillRichSoon | No / 81.0¢ | -10.00 | $8.1 | |
| 1d | 0x6e4b65e3cb413532f2314Ff2174adad3226A230C-1778346917996 | Yes / 20.0¢ | +10.00 | $2 | |
| 1d | IwillRichSoon | No / 80.0¢ | +10.00 | $8 |
1–12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 59%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.23Mvolume
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Yes 100%$657Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.87Mvolume
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 95%$830Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 92%$981Kvolume