
Volume
$256K
Txns
3,882
Traders
773
Fees
$2
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the twelfth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the twelfth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the twelfth launch, and this market will stay open until the twelfth launch has occurred. If the twelfth launch has not occurred by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 100%$4.68Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
No 100%$2.98Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
No 100%$4Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 100%$3.03Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 100%$2.51Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Yes 100%$1.64Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | yangguang0511 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,169.40 | $1.17 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +3,669.25 | $3.67K | |
| 1mo | 0xB7fFD15c3aa6146e2154650BAc8eE535B696b767-1776029436109 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +199.96 | $1 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | -500.01 | $1 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | -5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | -125.49 | $0.25 | |
| 1mo | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | No / 99.8¢ | -630.51 | $629 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | -207.45 | $207 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | -207.45 | $0.41 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | -825.63 | $824 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | -825.63 | $1.65 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 1mo | iammlucky | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.48 | |
| 1mo | iammlucky | Yes / 0.2¢ | +499.96 | $1 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | repsol | No / 99.9¢ | +5.02 | $5.02 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.03 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | 0x6B11FB81561815995a6D8Ed3B90dD95D3F4838e8-1772021569855 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,525.72 | $1.46 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,525.72 | $1.53 | |
| 1mo | beenraping | No / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 1mo | 0xf86b...171c07 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +199.96 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | huyewell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +132.85 | $0.13 |
1–25