Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?

A Taiwanese referendum over the continued operation of the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant's second reactor has been scheduled for August 23, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202507030018 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the referendum passes with the requisite voter turnout threshold met. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".​ If the referendum is permanently canceled or delayed beyond December 31, 2025 ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.