
Volume
$626K
Txns
16,249
Traders
4,515
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between April 9 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$20.7Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 50%$4.54Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.62Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 82%$1.38Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | 0xb4c7...62c6bd | No / 99.8¢ | -3.00 | $2.99 | |
| 5mo | esports095 | No / 99.8¢ | +3.00 | $2.99 | |
| 5mo | esports095 | No / 99.8¢ | +300.00 | $299 | |
| 5mo | Vilgefortz | No / 99.8¢ | -300.00 | $299 | |
| 5mo | rocky42003 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -45.76 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.76 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | d68e | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.52 | $0 | |
| 5mo | Vilgefortz | No / 99.9¢ | -400.00 | $400 | |
| 5mo | ScottVan | Yes / 0.1¢ | -199.99 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | BSS37 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | orin40 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -98.49 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Vilgefortz | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | d68e | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | Vilgefortz | No / 99.9¢ | -60.00 | $59.9 | |
| 5mo | 4... | Yes / 0.1¢ | -60.00 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | 0x921c...6d4684 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 5mo | tiredShip | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.31 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | dilution | No / 99.9¢ | +273.12 | $273 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.37 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +59.89 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +53.03 | $0.05 |
1–25