
Volume
$2M
Txns
4,412
Traders
666
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between April 9 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 100%$23.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$8.39Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 84%$21.8Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 52%$5.18Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 85%$1.73Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | DEGENKHAN | No / 99.9¢ | -1,575.29 | $1.57K | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +1,575.29 | $1.57K | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.22 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.13 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.84 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.30 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +1,945.14 | $1.94K | |
| 5mo | Istaroth | No / 99.9¢ | -1,456.82 | $1.46K | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.10 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.81 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.37 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.55 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | Skogeru | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 5mo | Istaroth | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +54.97 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | wks118 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | jwp9999 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,665.64 | $1.66K | |
| 5mo | mylord193 | No / 99.9¢ | -4,979.02 | $4.97K | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.09 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +44,500.00 | $44.5K | |
| 5mo | Istaroth | No / 99.9¢ | -37,564.17 | $37.5K | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.22 | $0.05 |
1–25