
Volume
$41K
Txns
573
Traders
148
Fees
$18
Liquidity
$821
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Gloomy-Refusal | Yes / 13.0¢ | +43.20 | $5.62 | |
| 3d | ggwellplayista | No / 87.0¢ | +43.20 | $37.8 | |
| 4d | 0x8bf2...a40d85 | Yes / 12.4¢ | -6.80 | $0.85 | |
| 4d | Gloomy-Refusal | Yes / 13.0¢ | +6.80 | $0.88 | |
| 5d | ggwellplayista | No / 84.0¢ | +20.00 | $16.9 | |
| 5d | Gloomy-Refusal | Yes / 16.0¢ | +20.00 | $3.2 | |
| 5d | PPMT | Yes / 17.0¢ | +29.68 | $5.05 | |
| 5d | ggwellplayista | No / 83.0¢ | +55.00 | $46 | |
| 5d | AJSV | Yes / 17.0¢ | +25.32 | $4.3 | |
| 21d | TraderProMax | Yes / 29.0¢ | -15.00 | $4.35 | |
| 21d | WhiteHoles | No / 70.0¢ | -15.00 | $10.5 | |
| 21d | 0x4BacC90e5008E3b28be88522B901E4AA71b45E79-1767908409746 | Yes / 22.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.1 | |
| 21d | WhiteHoles | Yes / 21.1¢ | -5.00 | $1.06 | |
| 22d | TraderProMax | Yes / 21.0¢ | +16.17 | $3.4 | |
| 22d | HajdPerHajer2 | Yes / 20.2¢ | -16.17 | $3.26 | |
| 23d | AJSV | No / 66.0¢ | +16.17 | $10.9 | |
| 23d | HajdPerHajer2 | Yes / 34.0¢ | +16.17 | $5.5 | |
| 24d | 0xbecc...7ff560 | No / 62.8¢ | -5.00 | $3.14 | |
| 24d | planktonXD | Yes / 36.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.8 | |
| 28d | AJSV | Yes / 22.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.1 | |
| 28d | WhiteHoles | No / 78.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.94 | |
| 28d | AJSV | Yes / 21.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.05 | |
| 28d | WhiteHoles | No / 79.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.99 | |
| 28d | WhiteHoles | No / 81.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.09 | |
| 28d | AJSV | Yes / 19.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.95 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 75%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 76%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume